← PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store
Wind ArcaneTier 2
at PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store
decks
2
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.0%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
43.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1410
· median 1410
· range 1213–1607
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1016
Q1 1203
Q3 1400
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.4% | -8.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Suited | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +11.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Nico | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
